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Indicators · Growth and investment

IMF growth forecast

The IMF World Economic Outlook projection for real GDP growth this year and next.

Why it matters

The most widely used forward-looking benchmark. Investment committees compare their own assumptions against it.

Read with care

Forecasts are revised twice a year and often miss shocks such as droughts or elections.

Source

IMF

% a year. 54 African countries, 1980 to 2026.

IMF forecast: highest in Tanzania, lowest in South Africa


IMF growth forecast, % a year. Latest year available, 2026. 16 of 16 countries have data.

2%
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Source: IMF· Get the data (Professional)·dotzedw Insights Centre

Ranked: IMF forecastiWhy it mattersThe most widely used forward-looking benchmark. Investment committees compare their own assumptions against it.


Click a country to highlight it.

0%2%4%6%Tanzania6.0%Zambia5.6%DRC5.2%Zimbabwe5.0%Angola4.4%Botswana4.4%Madagascar3.8%Eswatini3.7%Comoros2.9%Mauritius2.7%Malawi2.6%Namibia2.0%Lesotho1.1%Mozambique1.0%Seychelles1.0%South Africa1.0%median 3.3%
dotzedw Insights Centre
How spread out SADC is
Median 3.3%Lowest: Mozambique 1.0%Highest: Tanzania 6.0%

Over time

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IMF growth forecast against income per person


Each bubble is a SADC country, sized by population. Dashed lines mark the SADC medians. Countries far from the pattern are worth a closer look.

0.0%1.0%2.0%3.0%4.0%5.0%6.0%$1,000$3,000$10kGDP per person, US$ (log scale)IMF forecastDRCTanzaniaSouth AfricaAngolaMozambiqueMadagascarMalawiZambia
Source: IMF, World Bank·dotzedw Insights Centre

Table

The same figures as the map, for screen readers and copying.
RankCountryValueYearFive-year changeGradeDetails
1Tanzania6.0%2026 (forecast)–B
2Zambia5.6%2026 (forecast)–B
3DRC5.2%2026 (forecast)–B
4Zimbabwe5.0%2026 (forecast)–B
5Angola4.4%2026 (forecast)–B
6Botswana4.4%2026 (forecast)–B
7Madagascar3.8%2026 (forecast)–B
8Eswatini3.7%2026 (forecast)–B
9Comoros2.9%2026 (forecast)–B
10Mauritius2.7%2026 (forecast)–B
11Malawi2.6%2026 (forecast)–B
12Namibia2.0%2026 (forecast)–B
13Lesotho1.1%2026 (forecast)–B
14Mozambique1.0%2026 (forecast)–B
15Seychelles1.0%2026 (forecast)–B
16South Africa1.0%2026 (forecast)–B